This site presents one of our stock trading systems and a long term stock market indicator. The chart below shows the annual returns that the system achieved in the past 6 years, around 30% per year.

Many people are suspicious and run away when seeing the chart because the returns are much higher than usual. However, we have a way to let you prove it is true to yourself.

high return from 2004 to 2009

We make this site completely open for now. We post every buy or sell the system generates a day before it is traded. We update on every trading day. If there is not any buy or sell that day, we say so.

Current readers know what they get from the site. If you visit the site first time and doubt the trades we posted in the past, the new ones will show you how the system performs.

Put away your credit card and check book. We even do not ask for your email address.

Spend 5 minutes to explore the opportunity for yourself. It could change how you invest, forever.


Our Discovery #1
Momentum Investing is a powerful methodology but has two shorting comings:

  1. When stocks appear on momentum list, they are often too hot already to have room for further upside move.  One typical example is the IBD100 list from Investor's Business Daily. Stocks in the list usually have high growth potential. The stock prices may have a little room to grow further but are near end of the cycle.

  2. It is hard for momentum investors to tell when to sell. You bought a stock because its price is going higher. When the price moves down a little, do you sell? When the price does not move for a little while, do you sell? The fact that price move is the major basis in momentum investing makes it hard to know when to sell.

Our system addresses these two issues graciously. Please read our discovery #3.

Our Discovery #2
Wall Street analysts could upgrade stock ratings if its price keeps moving up. It is counter intuitive. If the stock price is higher than its valuation, it should be a sell and not be upgraded. The fact is that the valuation is never known for sure.

One of the valuation methods is estimating future free cash flows of the company and discounted back to the present value with a specified discount rate. The future free cash flows are not certain. The discount rate is trickier. Business situation changes in the future.

Other valuation methods are not perfect either. For example, comparing method determines a company’s value based industry or other similar companies’ valuation. In 1990s, analysts thought Gateway is similar to Dell because both are direct retailers of PC. They turned out to be way different.

Valuation is more an art than a science. When stock price is much higher than analysts’ valuation for an extended period, those analysts are in hot water. They are scared to be wrong and want to move the rating to kind of matching the price. Even if the move is proved to be wrong, at least some others such as the big buyers are wrong along with them. So they would have excuses.

Our Discovery #3
We developed a methodology to select stocks whose price momentum surpasses analysts’ earnings forecasts, ratings and commentaries. That makes sure the stocks are not over heated. With the price momentum, if those analysts’ sentiment moves in a positive direction and they upgrade the stocks, usually stock price moves up fast because some institutions have to buy stocks based on ratings. When most analysts agree that the company has a great potential, or when stock price performance does not match the sentiment, it is our time to sell.

Our Discovery #4
High risk positions usually bring high returns. Mutual funds study portfolio optimization in a great deal. We take a step further. We seek high returns of each position. At the same time, we maximize the chances that the volatilities of the stocks cancel each other. Our portfolio usually includes 20 to 30 stocks. On some days, one of the positions may lose 10% or more, but overall portfolio still gains for that day.

Who we are
We are finance professionals and mathematicians. We are a group of stock researchers. We spent days and nights researching and modeling stock markets since 1995. Our team leader holds MBA from the University of Michigan Ross School of Business (BusinessWeek ranked it No. 5 in U.S.). Another member holds MBA from University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

Our philosophy is one word: Result. Since we are not meeting the readers in person, we want you to judge us on the trades we post. We take pride in what we can do. Pride is not pride until it is shared. We also use the platform to explore future opportunities.

Your power - take action now
Again, since the site is completely open, there is no way to hide. There is no ambiguity either.

For you, all you need to do is open your eyes and click the mouse.

The key to success is to take action when an opportunity arises. Do not miss this one for another day. Our portfolio could move 5% a day. To check what actions we are taking, click

here for our main portfolio

or

here for our active trading portfolio

We wish you well in your endower of pursuing wealth. Tell your friend if you find we are doing something right. That is all we ask. Thank you in advance.

p.s. We also developed a stock market indicator for more than 20 countries. It has proved to be very effective for many years. Wealth is built by not losing big. The indicator is updated weekly. Please click the following chart to see more.


US stock indicator, point to world stock market indicator, from Asia such as China, India and Japan, to Europe such as UK, Germany, French, to America such as Cananda, Brazil and Mexico.





Return of Current Holdings

Our current holdings have a return of

 

31.85%

 


Volatility

Return of our portfolio is volatile on day-to-day basis, but is consistent annually.

Disclaimer

This website is an information service only. The information provided herein does not constitute as an offer to buy or sell securities. We are not investment advisors. The service is not based upon individual needs of viewers.The risk of loss in trading can be substantial. Please carefully consider the inherent risks of such an investment in light of your financial condition.

AplusStocks.com principles and employees trade stocks and options for our own accounts. We also research on other trading systems. We reserve the right to sell or purchase any stocks or options for our own accounts in our discretion.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown on this site. You are cautioned that there is no universally accepted method for analyzing financial instruments. Some of the records were not actually traded. Hence they were hypothetical trades. Although we do not provide any information on futures, the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, www.cftc.gov) provides an excellent description of the limitations of hypothetical trades:

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT.

All material provided is believed to be reliable, but AplusStocks.com makes no warranty of any kind, expressed or implied. All material is provided "As Is".


 

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